
Filtered Polling Data: Hung Parliament
December 10, 2007Inputting the latest Populus poll into Samplemiser gives us the following projection: Conservatives 40.08 Labour 31.99 Lib Dem 15.99. This gives a projection of Conservatives 321 Labour 268 Liberal Democrats 30, which would be hung parliament but one with the Conservatives strong enough to run the government without having to seek a coalition with the Liberal Democrats. A copy of the filtered data since the end of August is available here uk-pollls-101207.pdf (a UNS is used for the parliamentary projections).