Why Hillary should be smiling (for now)
December 22, 2007Hillary Clinton leads in both the filtered figures and the adjusted projections.
Adding the latest polls, up to and including the ARG poll (but excluding the Insider Advantage poll) produces the following results: Hillary Clinton 28.9 Barack Obama 26.42 John Edwards 20.22 Joseph Biden 7.32 and Bill Richardson 6.7. Using the previous assumptions (Clinton, Edwards and Obama lose 25% of their votes and Richardson and Biden lose 50%, Edwards & Obama voters go to Clinton, Clinton voters split equally between Edwards & Obama, Richardson voters go to Clinton, Biden voters to Obama and Undecideds to Edwards) we get Clinton 36.69, Edwards 27.70, Obama 27.09, Biden 3.66 and Richardson 3.35.
