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Some thoughts on Florida »
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Is the market overreacting?

January 29, 2008

Is McCain nearly 80% likely to win tonight?

mccainbubble.png

Unfortunately no. More like 60-65%. Given that the probability of McCain winning the nomination is still in the early 60s, I’d advise you to sell contracts on McCain winning Florida and buy contracts on McCain winning the nomination.

Posted in Election 2008 | Tagged , |

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