More bad news for Hillary and Obama
March 27, 2008Will the Democratic nomination be a poisoned chalice for whoever wins it?
My new national projections (last poll ending March 25th) are:
John McCain 49.93
Hillary Clinton 43
John McCain 50.86
Barack Obama 41.01
McCain leads both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama by 6.93% and 8.85% respectively. Although these are early days, this does suggest that McCain is in a very strong position. It might also focus Clinton’s mind as to whether the nomination might be a poisoned chalice. At the very least it should dissuade her from accepting second place on a ticket with Obama.
There’s no doubt that John McCain is benifiting from the mud-wrestling match Hillary and Barack are engaged in, but I think McCain’s advantage is due mainly to defecting, disgruntled Democrats.
Americans have an extremely short-term memory politically speaking. (That Rev. Wright flap has already cooled to a simmer). I expect the Dems to eventually get behind their nominee once he or she is selected.