Boris Johnson leads by 2.17%
April 10, 2008Will either Johnson or Livingstone get more than 45%?
My projections for the Mayor of London first preferences are now:
Boris Johnson 42.06
Ken Livingstone 39.89
Brian Paddick 13.41
The contest seems to be very close. My guess is that the eventual margin will lie between a 5% Johnson victory and a 2% Livingstone victory. However, I believe that at least one, if not both, of either Johnson or Livingstone will get over 45% of the vote making the Ladbrokes market on the vote shares of the respective candidates really good value.
