Obama’s lead down to 4.1%
June 27, 2008Is McCain bouncing back, or is this just an illusion?
My new national projections are:
Barack Obama 49
John McCain 44.90
This might just be the usual polling noise but I feel that McCain’s campaign may have turned a corner, especially when one looks at it in the context of the Missouri poll. Using the fictional Russell Bell’s scale this might not be a 50 degree day for McCain but it is not a 40 degree day either. In any case the Obama camp should be worried, especially given that for the last three months they have run a very good texbook campaign.
NOTE: My methodology for my detailed polling projections involves collating all the available polls of likely voters and then filtering them through Samplemiser, a Kalman filter. I only used polls of likely voters and I get my data from pollster.com.
A lead of 49-44 is no illusion. McCain’s campaign is weak and you know it.